Aotearoa – New ZealandApproval Ratings
Preferred prime minister and leadership approval polling ahead of the 2026 New Zealand general election.
Pollsters included
Dot color is accuracy vs. the actual 2023 result (green = high, amber = moderate, red = lower, gray = no 2023 pre-election poll on record). Hover a pollster for its exact error.
Preferred prime minister
Hipkins
23.0%
Luxon
22.0%
Peters
12.0%
Swarbrick
8.0%
Seymour
7.0%
Most recent poll: Talbot Mills (1–11 Aug 2026).
- Luxon
- Hipkins
- Swarbrick
- Seymour
- Peters
Leadership approval rating
Hipkins
-7.0pp
Peters
-16.0pp
Luxon
-19.0pp
Seymour
-24.0pp
Net approval (approve minus disapprove). Most recent poll: Taxpayers' Union–Curia (1–4 Aug 2026).
- Luxon
- Hipkins
- Seymour
- Peters
Preferred PM polls (76 of 76)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | Luxon | Hipkins | Swarbrick | Seymour | Peters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2026 | 1 News–Verian | 847 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Talbot Mills | – | 22.0 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 23.2 | 19.8 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 10.5 |
| 9 Jul 2026 | RNZ–Reid Research | 1,000 | 20.0 | 23.9 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 13.2 |
| 5 Jul 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 19.1 | 19.2 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 11.8 |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 1 News–Verian | 1,001 | 18.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 |
| 11 Jun 2026 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,038 | 37.0 | 44.0 | – | – | – |
| 10 Jun 2026 | Talbot Mills | 1,021 | 20.0 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 |
| 8 Jun 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 18.8 | 17.1 | 8.1 | 6.3 | 12.8 |
| 10 May 2026 | Talbot Mills | – | 20.0 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 |
| 7 May 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 21.5 | 19.0 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 11.6 |
| 16 Apr 2026 | Talbot Mills | 1,082 | 20.0 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 |
| 15 Apr 2026 | 1 News–Verian | 1,010 | 16.0 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 |
| 2 Apr 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 20.5 | 21.7 | 7.4 | 4.6 | 12.1 |
| 20 Mar 2026 | RNZ–Reid Research | 1,000 | 17.3 | 20.7 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 13.1 |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Talbot Mills | 1,059 | 22.0 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 21.0 | 22.7 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 10.4 |
| 12 Feb 2026 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,039 | 34.0 | 46.0 | – | – | – |
| 11 Feb 2026 | 1 News–Verian | 1,003 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 22.0 | 18.0 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 12.5 |
| 22 Jan 2026 | RNZ–Reid Research | 1,000 | 19.4 | 21.1 | 6.0 | 6.7 | 12.6 |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 19.5 | 18.0 | 5.5 | 7.1 | 9.7 |
| 10 Dec 2025 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,031 | 39.0 | 45.0 | – | – | – |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 19.7 | 17.8 | 7.6 | 6.0 | 8.5 |
| 3 Dec 2025 | 1 News–Verian | 1,007 | 23.0 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Talbot Mills | – | 22.0 | 26.0 | – | – | – |
| 6 Nov 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 20.8 | 20.6 | 4.1 | 7.7 | 8.5 |
| 10 Oct 2025 | Talbot Mills | 1,097 | 21.0 | 24.0 | – | – | – |
| 8 Oct 2025 | 1 News–Verian | 1,014 | 21.0 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 |
| 8 Oct 2025 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,050 | 36.0 | 45.0 | – | – | – |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 19.8 | 20.9 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 9.9 |
| 12 Sept 2025 | RNZ–Reid Research | 1,000 | 19.6 | 23.0 | 6.5 | 5.8 | 8.9 |
| 10 Sept 2025 | Talbot Mills | 1,000 | 20.0 | 25.0 | – | – | – |
| 2 Sept 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 21.7 | 17.7 | 8.8 | 3.7 | 10.9 |
| 10 Aug 2025 | Talbot Mills | 1,000 | 21.0 | 26.0 | – | – | – |
| 6 Aug 2025 | 1 News–Verian | 1,002 | 20.0 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 |
| 5 Aug 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 20.2 | 20.2 | 8.0 | 6.2 | 8.2 |
| 10 Jul 2025 | Talbot Mills | 1,090 | 24.0 | 24.0 | – | – | – |
| 6 Jul 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 19.7 | 19.6 | 7.0 | 5.7 | 9.3 |
| 15 Jun 2025 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,150 | 37.0 | 43.0 | – | – | – |
| 9 Jun 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 20.3 | 18.5 | 5.6 | 6.0 | 8.0 |
| 30 May 2025 | RNZ–Reid Research | 1,008 | 18.8 | 23.2 | 6.9 | 6.4 | 8.9 |
| 28 May 2025 | 1 News–Verian | 1,002 | 23.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| 4 May 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 24.5 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 6.7 | 8.1 |
| 2 Apr 2025 | 1 News–Verian | 1,000 | 23.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 |
| 1 Apr 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 21.9 | 18.9 | 4.2 | 8.0 | 12.8 |
| 27 Mar 2025 | RNZ–Reid Research | 1,000 | 21.9 | 20.9 | 6.1 | 6.8 | 7.9 |
| 10 Mar 2025 | Talbot Mills | 1,003 | 21.0 | 24.0 | – | – | – |
| 4 Mar 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 20.3 | 20.7 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 8.6 |
| 7 Feb 2025 | 1 News–Verian | 1,002 | 22.0 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| 4 Feb 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 20.7 | 17.6 | 8.9 | 6.4 | 8.0 |
| 27 Jan 2025 | Talbot Mills | 1,049 | 24.0 | 25.0 | – | – | – |
| 13 Jan 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 24.5 | 15.3 | 8.5 | 6.3 | 8.8 |
| 4 Dec 2024 | 1 News–Verian | 1,006 | 24.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| 3 Dec 2024 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 27.1 | 19.9 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| 28 Nov 2024 | Labour–Talbot Mills | – | 22.1 | 22.7 | – | – | – |
| 27 Nov 2024 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,150 | 41.0 | 42.0 | – | – | – |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 26.5 | 15.5 | 5.2 | 7.4 | 6.3 |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Talbot Mills | – | 25.0 | 23.0 | – | – | – |
| 9 Oct 2024 | 1 News–Verian | 1,000 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| 7 Oct 2024 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 27.7 | 16.9 | 9.9 | 7.4 | 8.4 |
| 10 Sept 2024 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 32.7 | 12.6 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 6.7 |
| 10 Sept 2024 | Talbot Mills | – | 26.0 | 22.0 | – | – | – |
| 14 Aug 2024 | 1 News–Verian | 1,001 | 28.0 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| 8 Jul 2024 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 34.5 | 18.7 | 10.9 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| 19 Jun 2024 | 1 News–Verian | 1,002 | 23.0 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| 6 Jun 2024 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 25.4 | 20.2 | 8.6 | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| 10 May 2024 | Talbot Mills | – | 25.0 | 25.0 | – | – | – |
| 24 Apr 2024 | 1 News–Verian | 1,000 | 23.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Talbot Mills | – | 24.0 | 23.0 | – | – | – |
| 14 Feb 2024 | 1 News–Verian | 1,002 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Talbot Mills | – | 27.0 | 23.0 | – | – | – |
| 7 Feb 2024 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 29.0 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 |
| 10 Jan 2024 | Curia | 1,000 | 31.0 | 13.0 | – | – | – |
| 5 Dec 2023 | Curia | – | 30.0 | 22.0 | – | – | – |
| 6 Nov 2023 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 33.0 | 18.0 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 5.0 |
Luxon = National, Hipkins = Labour, Swarbrick = Green, Seymour = ACT, Peters = NZ First
Leadership approval polls (21 of 21)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | Luxon | Hipkins | Seymour | Peters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | -19.0 | -7.0 | -24.0 | -16.0 |
| 8 Jun 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | -19.0 | -7.0 | -18.0 | -5.0 |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | -16.0 | -8.0 | -28.0 | -7.0 |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | -17.0 | -4.0 | -24.0 | -6.0 |
| 10 Dec 2025 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,031 | – | +7.0 | – | – |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | – | – | – | – |
| 6 Nov 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | – | – | – | +2.0 |
| 8 Oct 2025 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,050 | – | – | – | – |
| 15 Jun 2025 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,150 | – | +4.0 | – | – |
| 9 Jun 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | – | +3.2 | – | +1.0 |
| 1 Apr 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | – | +2.0 | – | – |
| 4 Mar 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | – | +4.0 | – | – |
| 27 Nov 2024 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,150 | – | – | – | – |
| 10 Sept 2024 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | +7.0 | – | – | – |
| 6 Jun 2024 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | – | +3.0 | – | – |
| 7 May 2024 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | +8.0 | -1.0 | – | – |
| 4 Apr 2024 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | -7.0 | -6.0 | – | – |
| 5 Mar 2024 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | -5.0 | +2.0 | – | – |
| 7 Feb 2024 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | +11.0 | +4.0 | – | – |
| 10 Jan 2024 | Curia | 1,000 | +5.0 | +3.0 | – | – |
| 5 Dec 2023 | Curia | – | -1.0 | +9.0 | – | – |
Luxon = National, Hipkins = Labour, Seymour = ACT, Peters = NZ First