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Electorates

All 71 electorates under the boundaries finalized 8 August 2026, their current MP, declared candidates, and a safe / leaning / toss-up read from the last three general elections (2023, 2020, 2017).

Showing 71 of 71 electorates.

ElectorateCurrent MPClassificationDeclared candidatesLast 3 elections
Auckland Central
General electorate
Chlöe Swarbrick
Green
LeaningGreen
GRN has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 3,896 votes -- leaning GRN, not safe.
Johan Chang,Naisi Chen,Candace Kinser,Antonia Modkova,Chlöe Swarbrick
2023: GRN +3,896 · 2020: GRN +1,068 · 2017: NAT +1,581
Banks Peninsula
General electorate
Vanessa Weenink
National
Toss-up
No party has won a majority of the 2 elections on record (most recently NAT, majority 396).
Lindsay Kerslake,Tracey McLellan,Craig Pauling,Kyle Turnbull (Alliance),Amy Turner (New Conservative),Vanessa Weenink,Zachary Wellman
2023: NAT +396 · 2020*: LAB +13,156
Botany
General electorate
Christopher Luxon
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 16,337 votes -- a safe seat.
Ali Dahche,Neru Leavasa,Christopher Luxon
2023: NAT +16,337 · 2020: NAT +3,999 · 2017: NAT +12,839
Christchurch Central
General electorate
Duncan Webb
Labour · not seeking re-election here
LeaningLabour
LAB has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 1,981 votes -- leaning LAB, not safe.
Mark Arneil,Greg Byrnes (Alliance),Kahurangi Carter,George Hampton,Eden Skipper,Dale Stephens,Christian van der Pump,Duncan Webb
2023: LAB +1,981 · 2020: LAB +14,098 · 2017: LAB +2,871
Christchurch East
General electorate
Reuben Davidson
Labour
LeaningLabour
LAB has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 2,397 votes -- leaning LAB, not safe.
Teresa Butler,Alexandra Davids,Reuben Davidson,Ethan Gullery (Alliance),Toni Severin,Shane Wiremu
2023: LAB +2,397 · 2020: LAB +17,336 · 2017: LAB +7,480
Coromandel
General electorate
Scott Simpson
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 17,014 votes -- a safe seat.
Vincent Anderson,Glen Bennett,Pamela Grealey,Mike McCormick,Scott Simpson
2023: NAT +17,014 · 2020: NAT +3,505 · 2017: NAT +14,326
Dunedin
General electorate
Rachel Brooking
Labour
LeaningLabour
LAB has won 2 of the last 2 elections, most recently by 7,980 votes -- leaning LAB, not safe.
Kristine Asuncion,David Bainbridge-Zafar,Victor Billot (Alliance),Rachel Brooking,Francisco Hernandez,Kym McDonald-King
2023: LAB +7,980 · 2020*: LAB +15,521
East Cape
General electorate · new/redrawn 2026
Dana Kirkpatrick
National
MP for East Coast since 2023
Toss-up
New or substantially redrawn by the boundary review finalized 8 Aug 2026, with no comparable result under these boundaries yet -- treated as a toss-up until real results exist.
Darrin Hawkes,Dana Kirkpatrick,Jo Luxton,Cail Smith,Jordan Walker,Te Kira Lawrence
No comparable results yet
East Coast Bays
General electorate
Erica Stanford
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 20,353 votes -- a safe seat.
Brendan McEnroe,Abe McKee,Sam Mills,Erica Stanford,Vaughan Taylor
2023: NAT +20,353 · 2020: NAT +8,764 · 2017: NAT +16,290
Epsom
General electorate
David Seymour
ACT
SafeACT
ACT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 8,142 votes -- a safe seat.
Camilla Belich,Paul Goldsmith,Martin Gummer,Paul Jackson,David Seymour,Lawrence Xu-Nan
2023: ACT +8,142 · 2020: ACT +9,224 · 2017: ACT +5,519
Glendene
General electorate · new/redrawn 2026
Carmel Sepuloni
Labour
MP for Kelston since 2014
Toss-up
New or substantially redrawn by the boundary review finalized 8 Aug 2026, with no comparable result under these boundaries yet -- treated as a toss-up until real results exist.
Evan French,Sunil Kumar,Robert McNeil (Animal Justice),Alfred Ngaro,Amanda Roberts,Carmel Sepuloni,Yasmine Serhan
No comparable results yet
Hamilton East
General electorate
Ryan Hamilton
National
LeaningNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 5,060 votes -- leaning NAT, not safe.
Georgie Dansey,Ryan Hamilton,Nicola Laboyrie,Naomi Pocock
2023: NAT +5,060 · 2020: LAB +2,973 · 2017: NAT +5,810
Hamilton West
General electorate
Tama Potaka
National
LeaningNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 6,488 votes -- leaning NAT, not safe.
Louise Hutt,Tama Potaka,Blair Smith,Kevin Stone,Myra Williamson
2023: NAT +6,488 · 2020: LAB +6,267 · 2017: NAT +7,731
Hauraki-Waikato
Māori electorate
Hana-Rawhiti Maipi-Clarke
Te Pāti Māori
Toss-up
LAB won more of the last 3 elections, but TPM won the most recent one (2023) -- a genuine recent shift, treated as a toss-up.
Kingi Kiriona,Hana-Rawhiti Maipi-Clarke
2023: TPM +2,911 · 2020: LAB +9,660 · 2017: LAB +9,223
Henderson
General electorate · new/redrawn 2026
Phil Twyford
Labour
MP for Te Atatū since 2011
Toss-up
New or substantially redrawn by the boundary review finalized 8 Aug 2026, with no comparable result under these boundaries yet -- treated as a toss-up until real results exist.
Angee Nicholas,Nick Peirce,Phil Twyford,Alika Wells,David Wilson,Almo Wong
No comparable results yet
Hutt South
General electorate
Chris Bishop
National
Toss-up
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), but only by 1,332 votes most recently -- a toss-up.
Ginny Andersen,Chris Bishop,Alistair Boyce,Courtney White,Benjamin Wylie-van Eerd
2023: NAT +1,332 · 2020: LAB +3,777 · 2017: NAT +1,530
Ikaroa-Rāwhiti
Māori electorate
Cushla Tangaere-Manuel
Labour
LeaningLabour
LAB has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 2,843 votes -- leaning LAB, not safe.
Haley Maxwell,Cushla Tangaere-Manuel,Heather Te Au-Skipworth
2023: LAB +2,843 · 2020: LAB +6,045 · 2017: LAB +4,210
Ilam
General electorate
Hamish Campbell
National
LeaningNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 7,830 votes -- leaning NAT, not safe.
Hamish Campbell,Mike Davidson,Courtney Fraser (Alliance),Ken Harpur,Rata Jamieson,Nathan Walton
2023: NAT +7,830 · 2020: LAB +3,463 · 2017: NAT +8,256
Invercargill
General electorate
Penny Simmonds
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 9,874 votes -- a safe seat.
Dave Kennedy,Janice Lee,Penny Simmonds
2023: NAT +9,874 · 2020: NAT +224 · 2017: NAT +5,579
Kaikōura
General electorate
Stuart Smith
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 11,412 votes -- a safe seat.
Jamie Arbuckle,Matthew Flight,Oliver Hill Hughes (Independent),Stuart Smith,Tom Spooner
2023: NAT +11,412 · 2020: NAT +2,295 · 2017: NAT +10,553
Kaipara ki Mahurangi
General electorate
Chris Penk
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 2 elections, most recently by 19,459 votes -- a safe seat.
Zephyr Brown,Simon Court,Daniel Eb,Jenny Marcroft,Chris Penk,Jo Swinburn,Tracey-Lee Repia
2023: NAT +19,459 · 2020*: NAT +4,435
Kapiti
General electorate · new/redrawn 2026
Tim Costley
National
MP for Ōtaki since 2023
Toss-up
New or substantially redrawn by the boundary review finalized 8 Aug 2026, with no comparable result under these boundaries yet -- treated as a toss-up until real results exist.
Tim Costley,Penny Gaylor,Sophie Handford,Chee-Khiang Sng,Melody Willis,Asher Wilson-Goldman
No comparable results yet
Kenepuru
General electorate · new/redrawn 2026
Barbara Edmonds
Labour
MP for Mana since 2020
Toss-up
New or substantially redrawn by the boundary review finalized 8 Aug 2026, with no comparable result under these boundaries yet -- treated as a toss-up until real results exist.
Jon Blackshaw,Barbara Edmonds,Matthew Evetts,Robert Mason,Lan Pham,Lyra Yan Zhang
No comparable results yet
Māngere
General electorate
Lemauga Lydia Sosene
Labour
SafeLabour
LAB has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 11,700 votes -- a safe seat.
Rosemary Bourke,Vicky Hau,Ben Lane,Michel Mulipola,Manu Singh,Lemauga Lydia Sosene,Timoti Te Moke (Independent)
2023: LAB +11,700 · 2020: LAB +19,396 · 2017: LAB +14,597
Manurewa
General electorate
Arena Williams
Labour
LeaningLabour
LAB has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 7,113 votes -- leaning LAB, not safe.
Ghouse Majeed,Avalua Tavui (Animal Justice),Esther Tofilau-Tevaga,Arena Williams
2023: LAB +7,113 · 2020: LAB +17,179 · 2017: LAB +8,374
Maungakiekie
General electorate
Greg Fleming
National
LeaningNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 4,617 votes -- leaning NAT, not safe.
Juan Alvarez de Lugo,Greg Fleming,Keegan Langeveld,Derrick Paull,Adam Powell,Priyanca Radhakrishnan
2023: NAT +4,617 · 2020: LAB +635 · 2017: NAT +2,157
Mount Albert
General electorate
Helen White
Labour
LeaningLabour
LAB has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 18 votes -- leaning LAB, not safe.
Sheldon Eden-Whaitiri,Ricardo Menéndez March,Helen White,Melissa Lee,Alex Price,Qiulae Wong
2023: LAB +18 · 2020: LAB +21,246 · 2017: LAB +15,264
Mount Maunganui
General electorate · new/redrawn 2026
Tom Rutherford
National
MP for Bay of Plenty since 2023
Toss-up
New or substantially redrawn by the boundary review finalized 8 Aug 2026, with no comparable result under these boundaries yet -- treated as a toss-up until real results exist.
Tracey Coxhead,Rhieve Grey,Cameron Luxton,Tom Rutherford,Pualele Westhead
No comparable results yet
Mount Roskill
General electorate
Carlos Cheung
National
Toss-up
LAB won more of the last 3 elections, but NAT won the most recent one (2023) -- a genuine recent shift, treated as a toss-up.
Jamie Attenborough,Carlos Cheung,Michael Wood,Yang Qu
2023: NAT +1,565 · 2020: LAB +13,853 · 2017: LAB +6,898
Napier
General electorate
Katie Nimon
National
Toss-up
LAB won more of the last 3 elections, but NAT won the most recent one (2023) -- a genuine recent shift, treated as a toss-up.
Roy Boonen,Alex Hedley,Te Kira Lawrence,Katie Nimon,John Ormond,Stuart Nash
2023: NAT +8,870 · 2020: LAB +5,856 · 2017: LAB +5,220
Nelson
General electorate
Rachel Boyack
Labour
Toss-up
LAB has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), but only by 26 votes most recently -- a toss-up.
Chris Baillie,Rachel Boyack,Blair Cameron,Jodie Kuntzsch,Rohan O'Neill-Stevens
2023: LAB +26 · 2020: LAB +4,525 · 2017: NAT +4,283
New Plymouth
General electorate
David MacLeod
National
LeaningNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 6,991 votes -- leaning NAT, not safe.
Amanda Clinton-Gohdes,Rusty Kane (Independent Taranaki),Sarah Lucas,David MacLeod
2023: NAT +6,991 · 2020: LAB +2,555 · 2017: NAT +7,733
North Shore
General electorate
Simon Watts
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 16,330 votes -- a safe seat.
Karen Chhour,Sam Collins,Marie Drury (New Conservative),Josh Jacobsen,Holly Knill,Simon Watts
2023: NAT +16,330 · 2020: NAT +3,734 · 2017: NAT +12,716
Northcote
General electorate
Dan Bidois
National
LeaningNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 9,270 votes -- leaning NAT, not safe.
Dan Bidois,Bhen Goodsir,Daryl Habraken,Shanan Halbert,Martin Lundqvist,Cody Marsh
2023: NAT +9,270 · 2020: LAB +2,534 · 2017: NAT +6,210
Northland
General electorate
Grant McCallum
National
LeaningNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 6,087 votes -- leaning NAT, not safe.
Sean Brickland (Outdoors),Mark Cameron,Ashleigh Latimer,Doug Lyell (New Conservative),Grant McCallum,Richard McIntosh (Build the Nation),Lucian Plaumann
2023: NAT +6,087 · 2020: LAB +163 · 2017: NAT +1,389
Ōtāhuhu
General electorate · new/redrawn 2026
Jenny Salesa
Labour
MP for Panmure-Ōtāhuhu since 2020
Toss-up
New or substantially redrawn by the boundary review finalized 8 Aug 2026, with no comparable result under these boundaries yet -- treated as a toss-up until real results exist.
Lalit Arya,Henrietta Devoe,Adam MacRae-Martin,Jenny Salesa,Te Whatanui Skipwith
No comparable results yet
Pakuranga
General electorate
Simeon Brown
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 18,710 votes -- a safe seat.
Simeon Brown,Kevin Huang,Campbell Matthews,Parmjeet Parmar,Catherine Somerville-Ryan
2023: NAT +18,710 · 2020: NAT +10,050 · 2017: NAT +14,886
Palmerston North
General electorate
Tangi Utikere
Labour
LeaningLabour
LAB has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 3,087 votes -- leaning LAB, not safe.
Brian Baker (Animal Justice),Ankit Bansal,Netra Ghimire,Bruce McGechan,Teanau Tuiono,Tangi Utikere,Helma Vermuelen
2023: LAB +3,087 · 2020: LAB +12,508 · 2017: LAB +6,392
Papakura
General electorate
Judith Collins
National · not seeking re-election here
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 13,459 votes -- a safe seat.
Emma Chatterton,Angela Dalton,Anahila Kanongata'a,George Ngatai,Malkiat Singh,Hannah Tamaki (Vision New Zealand),Judith Collins
2023: NAT +13,459 · 2020: NAT +5,583 · 2017: NAT +7,486
Port Waikato
General electorate
Andrew Bayly
National · not seeking re-election here
SafeNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 2 elections, most recently by 11,432 votes -- a safe seat.
Matt Brachi,Casey Costello,Daymond Goulder-Horobin (Outdoors),Sarah Jane Lochead-Macmillan,Carl Morgan,Matthew Paul,Andrew Bayly
2023: NAT +11,432 · 2020*: NAT +4,313
Rangitata
General electorate
James Meager
National
LeaningNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 10,846 votes -- leaning NAT, not safe.
Aaron Allred,Matt Harris,Sange Malama,James Meager,Isaac Nicholson,Dave Richards,Karl Thomas (New Conservative)
2023: NAT +10,846 · 2020: LAB +4,408 · 2017: NAT +6,331
Rangitīkei
General electorate
Suze Redmayne
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 9,785 votes -- a safe seat.
Kevin Campbell (Alliance),Steve Gibson,Andrew Hoggard,Bernard Long,Suze Redmayne,Karl Severinsen
2023: NAT +9,785 · 2020: NAT +2,961 · 2017: NAT +10,290
Remutaka
General electorate
Chris Hipkins
Labour
SafeLabour
LAB has won 2 of the last 2 elections, most recently by 8,859 votes -- a safe seat.
Nigel Elder,Andy Foster,Chris Hipkins,Zabeen Lateef,Chris Norton,Luke Ross
2023: LAB +8,859 · 2020: LAB +20,497
Rotorua
General electorate
Todd McClay
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 8,923 votes -- a safe seat.
Billy Brown,Finn Liley,Todd McClay,Fisher Wang
2023: NAT +8,923 · 2020: NAT +825 · 2017: NAT +7,901
Selwyn
General electorate
Nicola Grigg
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 19,782 votes -- a safe seat.
Alma de Anda,Sunita Gautam,Nicola Grigg,Jesse Luke (Alliance),Adrian Mee,Elizabeth Mundt,Iain Murray,Zoran Rakovic (Independent),Nick Moody
2023: NAT +19,782 · 2020: NAT +4,968 · 2017: NAT +19,639
Southland
General electorate
Joseph Mooney
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 2 elections, most recently by 17,211 votes -- a safe seat.
Bianca Beebe,Jason Herrick,Peter McDonald,Joseph Mooney,Todd Stephenson
2023: NAT +17,211 · 2020*: NAT +5,645
Taieri
General electorate
Ingrid Leary
Labour
LeaningLabour
LAB has won 2 of the last 2 elections, most recently by 1,443 votes -- leaning LAB, not safe.
Robbie Byars,Matthew French,Anna Knight (Alliance),Ingrid Leary,Mathew Phillips,Scott Willis
2023: LAB +1,443 · 2020*: LAB +12,398
Takanini
General electorate
Rima Nakhle
National
Toss-up
No party has won a majority of the 2 elections on record (most recently NAT, majority 8,775).
Elliot Ikilei,Rima Nakhle,Kharag Singh,Lynley Tulloch (Animal Justice)
2023: NAT +8,775 · 2020*: LAB +7,724
Tāmaki
General electorate
Brooke van Velden
ACT · not seeking re-election here
Toss-up
NAT won more of the last 3 elections, but ACT won the most recent one (2023) -- a genuine recent shift, treated as a toss-up.
James Christmas,Max Harris,Sacha Haskell,Helen Houghton (New Conservative),Donald Mackenzie-Mayo,Mahesh Muralidhar,John Ryan,Brooke van Velden
2023: ACT +4,158 · 2020: NAT +8,068 · 2017: NAT +15,402
Tāmaki Makaurau
Māori electorate
Oriini Kaipara
Te Pāti Māori
Toss-up
LAB won more of the last 3 elections, but TPM won the most recent one (2023) -- a genuine recent shift, treated as a toss-up.
Oriini Kaipara,Kerrin Leoni,Florence Te Ohaere
2023: TPM +42 · 2020: LAB +927 · 2017: LAB +3,809
Taranaki-King Country
General electorate
Barbara Kuriger
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 14,355 votes -- a safe seat.
Ivana Jovicic,Barbara Kuriger,David Pattemore,Lee Smith
2023: NAT +14,355 · 2020: NAT +3,134 · 2017: NAT +15,259
Taupō
General electorate
Louise Upston
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 16,505 votes -- a safe seat.
Chris Flatt,Sam Plummer,Louise Upston
2023: NAT +16,505 · 2020: NAT +5,119 · 2017: NAT +14,335
Tauranga
General electorate
Sam Uffindell
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 9,370 votes -- a safe seat.
Michael Carter,Sam Connely (Animal Justice),Bryan Norton,Daniël Oosthuizen,Jan Tinetti,Sam Uffindell
2023: NAT +9,370 · 2020: NAT +1,856 · 2017: NAT +11,252
Te Tai Hauāuru
Māori electorate
Debbie Ngarewa-Packer
Te Pāti Māori
Toss-up
LAB won more of the last 3 elections, but TPM won the most recent one (2023) -- a genuine recent shift, treated as a toss-up.
Te Pūoho Kātene,Debbie Ngarewa-Packer,Coral Raukawa
2023: TPM +9,222 · 2020: LAB +1,053 · 2017: LAB +1,039
Te Tai Tokerau
Māori electorate
Mariameno Kapa-Kingi
Independent / other
Elected as Te Pāti Māori MP in 2023
Toss-up
Changed hands since the 2023 general election (won by TPM, now held by OTH) -- treated as a toss-up regardless of prior margins.
Aperahama Edwards,Maki Herbert (Legalise Cannabis),Mariameno Kapa-Kingi (Te Tai Tokerau Party),Hūhana Lyndon,Willow-Jean Prime
2023: TPM +517 · 2020: LAB +8,164 · 2017: LAB +4,807
Te Tai Tonga
Māori electorate
Tākuta Ferris
Independent / other
Elected as Te Pāti Māori MP in 2023
Toss-up
Changed hands since the 2023 general election (won by TPM, now held by OTH) -- treated as a toss-up regardless of prior margins.
Tākuta Ferris (Independent),Lisa Marie Murch,Mananui Ramsden,Lisa Te Morenga
2023: TPM +2,824 · 2020: LAB +6,855 · 2017: LAB +4,676
Tukituki
General electorate
Catherine Wedd
National
LeaningNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 10,118 votes -- leaning NAT, not safe.
Rob Douglas,Kaleb Hawkins (Independent),Mark Longworth,Taine Randell,Dan Scott,Rachel Ward,Catherine Wedd
2023: NAT +10,118 · 2020: LAB +1,590 · 2017: NAT +2,813
Upper Harbour
General electorate
Cameron Brewer
National
LeaningNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 11,192 votes -- leaning NAT, not safe.
Hannah Pia Baral,Cameron Brewer,Panos Patros,Ryan Richards,Bernadette Soares,Romeo Tevaga
2023: NAT +11,192 · 2020: LAB +2,392 · 2017: NAT +9,556
Waiariki
Māori electorate
Rawiri Waititi
Te Pāti Māori
LeaningTe Pāti Māori
TPM has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 15,891 votes -- leaning TPM, not safe.
Toni Boynton,Tania Waikato,Rawiri Waititi,Pāpā Wharewera
2023: TPM +15,891 · 2020: TPM +836 · 2017: LAB +1,719
Waikato
General electorate
Tim van de Molen
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 18,046 votes -- a safe seat.
Walt Cavendish (Independent),Robbie Cookson,Ash Parmar,Jamie Toko,Tim van de Molen
2023: NAT +18,046 · 2020: NAT +5,216 · 2017: NAT +15,452
Waimakariri
General electorate
Matt Doocey
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 13,010 votes -- a safe seat.
Ashley Bettridge,Steve Chick (New Conservative),Matt Doocey,Jackie Farrelly,Dan Rosewarne,Ali McDougall (Alliance)
2023: NAT +13,010 · 2020: NAT +1,507 · 2017: NAT +10,766
Wairarapa
General electorate
Mike Butterick
National
LeaningNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 2,816 votes -- leaning NAT, not safe.
Mike Butterick,Lauren Craig,Ron Mark,Kieran McAnulty,Matt Shepherd
2023: NAT +2,816 · 2020: LAB +6,545 · 2017: NAT +2,872
Waitakere
General electorate · new/redrawn 2026
Paulo Garcia
National · not seeking re-election here
MP for New Lynn since 2023
Toss-up
New or substantially redrawn by the boundary review finalized 8 Aug 2026, with no comparable result under these boundaries yet -- treated as a toss-up until real results exist.
Steve Abel,Agnes Loheni,Mark Roach,Callum Sheridan,Vanushi Walters,Paulo Garcia
No comparable results yet
Waitaki
General electorate
Miles Anderson
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 12,151 votes -- a safe seat.
Miles Anderson,Sean Beamish,Michael Laws,Damien O'Connor,Helen Tait
2023: NAT +12,151 · 2020: NAT +3,281 · 2017: NAT +12,816
Wellington Bays
General electorate · new/redrawn 2026
Julie Anne Genter
Green
MP for Rongotai since 2023
Toss-up
New or substantially redrawn by the boundary review finalized 8 Aug 2026, with no comparable result under these boundaries yet -- treated as a toss-up until real results exist.
Julie Anne Genter,Kayla Kingdon-Bebb,Nicole McKee,Karunā Muthu,Craig Renney,Gerald Warner
No comparable results yet
Wellington North
General electorate · new/redrawn 2026
Tamatha Paul
Green
MP for Wellington Central since 2023
Toss-up
New or substantially redrawn by the boundary review finalized 8 Aug 2026, with no comparable result under these boundaries yet -- treated as a toss-up until real results exist.
Taylor Arneil,Matthew Hague,Jessica Hammond,Josh Harford (Alliance),Tamatha Paul,Jonathan Pitts,Ayesha Verrall
No comparable results yet
West Coast-Tasman
General electorate
Maureen Pugh
National · not seeking re-election here
Toss-up
LAB won more of the last 3 elections, but NAT won the most recent one (2023) -- a genuine recent shift, treated as a toss-up.
Andrew Beaumont,Jamie Cleine,Sara Dyatlova–Murphy (Alliance),Sue Grey (Outdoors),Janelle Hocking,Katie Milne,Rory Paterson,Cindie Uddstrom,Louis Coup (Alliance),Maureen Pugh
2023: NAT +1,017 · 2020: LAB +6,208 · 2017: LAB +5,593
Whanganui
General electorate
Carl Bates
National
LeaningNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 5,417 votes -- leaning NAT, not safe.
Carl Bates,Harete Hipango-Brownlie,Sandra Kyle (Animal Justice),Angela Roberts,Awhi Haenga
2023: NAT +5,417 · 2020: LAB +8,191 · 2017: NAT +1,706
Whangaparāoa
General electorate
Mark Mitchell
National
SafeNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 2 elections, most recently by 23,376 votes -- a safe seat.
Mark Mitchell,Estefania Muller-Pallarès,Helena Roza
2023: NAT +23,376 · 2020*: NAT +7,823
Whangārei
General electorate
Shane Reti
National · not seeking re-election here
LeaningNational
NAT has won 2 of the last 3 elections (the exception was the 2020 landslide, an outlier election nationwide), most recently by 11,424 votes -- leaning NAT, not safe.
Lloyd Budd,Vince Cocurullo,Simon DellaBarca,Doug Graham,Gary Payinda,Shane Reti
2023: NAT +11,424 · 2020: LAB +431 · 2017: NAT +10,967
Wigram
General electorate
Megan Woods
Labour · not seeking re-election here
Contesting list only
LeaningLabour
LAB has won 3 of the last 3 elections, most recently by 1,187 votes -- leaning LAB, not safe.
Laura McClure,Shreejan Pandey,Bryce Park,Tracy Summerfield,Dominik Yanzick,Nicolas Pegg (Alliance),Megan Woods
2023: LAB +1,187 · 2020: LAB +14,770 · 2017: LAB +4,594

* = notional result, recalculated under today's boundaries rather than the real contest that year. Declared candidates reflect selections announced to date, not a final list -- nominations for the 2026 election don't close until 8 October 2026.